Showing posts with label Africa. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Africa. Show all posts

Friday, December 29, 2006

Still too Early to Celebrate

Ethiopa is now in possession of Mogadishu after 10 days of fighting. The Somali PM, Gedi, is declaring 3 months of martial law and states the country is "far from stable". Ken Menkhaus, a Horn of Africa specialist teaching in NC states this could be the beginning of...

"an asymetrical war involving a combination of hit and run guerrilla attacks, car bombings, assassinations and possibly even selected acts of terrorism on other parts of East Africa."

Yea, that sounds about right.

Tuesday, December 26, 2006

Africa's WWII?

Earlier today I hit up Coming Anarchy and found an interesting post on Ethiopia and Somalia. A bit later I found this interview by Ken Menkhaus. He is a former special advisor to the U.N. operation in Somalia.

When asked if the Council of Islamic Courts is controlled by al Qaeda, he states:

“No. Absolutely not.”

That’s not to say the two aren’t in a partnership.

Mr. Menkhaus’s sees this crisis different from Dafur’s.

“Darfur is a manmade crisis, and it’s an ongoing one that is incredibly difficult to access. In Somalia, for the moment, the biggest crisis is a natural disaster, the flooding.”



Here's what the leader of the CIC had to say about the Somali retreat.
"Sheik Sharif Sheik Ahmed, leader of the Council of Islamic Courts' executive body, said the group had told its troops to withdraw from some areas.

"The war is entering a new phase," he said. "We will fight Ethiopia for a long, long time and we expect the war to go everyplace."

Ahmed declined to explain his comments in greater detail, but some Islamic leaders had threatened a guerrilla war to include suicide bombings in Ethiopia's capital."

Could it be a bluff or the start of something much bigger? I’m thinking the latter. They know they can’t fight conventionally and win, as does everybody else.